Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.848235 7.602931 8.476937 9.582770 10.973848 12.709794 15.119018
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.304160 7.378466 8.756903 10.739181 13.688275 18.284732 27.097156
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.037487 7.429844 9.408940 12.691233 18.757158 32.295237 89.844114
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.380608 6.832038 9.037397 13.089346 22.067158 51.977504 15054.383570
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.070616 6.677929 9.325931 14.901730 31.384709 198.313161 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.732995 6.421999 9.402747 16.539611 46.355295 NaN NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.294590 5.927837 8.930015 16.736777 60.049848 NaN NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.887179 5.425776 8.331603 16.338612 73.094297 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.780635 5.432885 8.788176 19.740546 289.123324 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.801821 5.682207 9.915376 28.325241 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.683901 5.644581 10.372338 36.368337 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.523403 5.493270 10.485515 44.075513 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.283693 5.174700 10.120340 48.652767 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.075508 4.895816 9.802710 54.625402 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.944269 4.768475 9.953765 76.483146 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.710273 4.376633 9.070096 65.465230 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.583234 4.215242 8.965097 82.457789 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.453313 4.029957 8.717280 96.995641 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.293374 3.756539 8.066999 82.398023 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.141276 3.489016 7.393579 65.518426 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.092767 3.459570 7.607362 105.419504 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.090672 3.541045 8.315170 756.273115 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.041749 3.500489 8.510142 NaN NaN NaN NaN